KalshiKelly is an independent, unofficial tool built by an individual. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any way connected to Kalshi, Polymarket, or any other prediction market platform. All product names and trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Nothing on this site constitutes financial, investment, or betting advice. The Kelly Criterion calculator is provided purely as an educational and mathematical tool. All outputs are theoretical and based entirely on the probability estimates you enter. You are solely responsible for any decisions you make with your money.
Betting and prediction market trading carry significant risk of loss. Using the Kelly Criterion does not guarantee profits. Your probability estimates may be wrong, the market may be right, and you can lose your entire bankroll. Past performance of any strategy is not indicative of future results.
This tool is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The operator of this site is not liable for any losses, damages, or other consequences arising from your use of this calculator or any decisions made based on its output.
While we believe the mathematical implementation is correct, we make no guarantee of accuracy. Always verify calculations independently before placing any trade or bet.
These terms may be updated at any time. Continued use of the site after changes constitutes acceptance of the new terms.